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The Warnings About A New Civil War Are Becoming Louder

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Contrarian Expatriate
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Posts: 2648
Joined: December 3rd, 2009, 6:57 am

Re: The Warnings About A New Civil War Are Becoming Louder

Post by Contrarian Expatriate » October 7th, 2018, 9:25 pm

Contrarian Expatriate wrote:
September 28th, 2018, 3:45 pm
In this paradigm, there are seven stages that a nation goes through on the path to civil war and they are as follows

1 Political Discourse
2 Polarizing Disagreement
3 Harassment of the opposition by one or both sides
4 Violence
5 Assassinations
6 Extreme Civil Unrest
7 Civil War
We are already in a soft stage 5, but if the Republicans hold on to Congress in November, expect us to bump up to number into number 6. Number 5 came with the attempted assassinations of Steve Scalise and the other members of Congress last year. We are in a lull at the moment, but more in stage 5 will likely come.

If we do reach stage 6 after November, any impasse will provoke the desire for upping the ante into Stage 7 which is Civil War.

Wars are not good, but sometimes they are necessary. If we look at the Balkans today, just a little more than a decade ago the various sides were bloodletting and exterminating each other like unwanted vermin. Today there is mutual respect and the groups have fallen back into peaceful coexistence.

I only wish that the complex society that is the USA could be so easily reset, but it will not.




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TD-40
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Posts: 38
Joined: February 9th, 2017, 5:17 am

Re: The Warnings About A New Civil War Are Becoming Louder

Post by TD-40 » October 13th, 2018, 5:03 am

Contrarian Expatriate wrote:
October 7th, 2018, 9:25 pm
Contrarian Expatriate wrote:
September 28th, 2018, 3:45 pm
In this paradigm, there are seven stages that a nation goes through on the path to civil war and they are as follows

1 Political Discourse
2 Polarizing Disagreement
3 Harassment of the opposition by one or both sides
4 Violence
5 Assassinations
6 Extreme Civil Unrest
7 Civil War
We are already in a soft stage 5, but if the Republicans hold on to Congress in November, expect us to bump up to number into number 6. Number 5 came with the attempted assassinations of Steve Scalise and the other members of Congress last year. We are in a lull at the moment, but more in stage 5 will likely come.

If we do reach stage 6 after November, any impasse will provoke the desire for upping the ante into Stage 7 which is Civil War.

Wars are not good, but sometimes they are necessary. If we look at the Balkans today, just a little more than a decade ago the various sides were bloodletting and exterminating each other like unwanted vermin. Today there is mutual respect and the groups have fallen back into peaceful coexistence.

I only wish that the complex society that is the USA could be so easily reset, but it will not.
I also agree that the US is moving between 4 and 5. Stage 5 will need to get more serious with more attempts before we can say we are at that stage. I do think some nut will go after Trump eventually.

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