Join John Adams, world renowned Intl Matchmaker, Monday nights 8:30 EST for Live Webcasts!
And check out Five Reasons why you should attend a FREE AFA Seminar! See locations and dates here.



View Active Topics       View Your Posts       Latest 100 Topics       FAQ Topics       Mobile Friendly Theme


US Markets Hit Record Highs

Discuss issues related to business, finance, taxes, investments, cost of living in different countries, etc.

Moderators: fschmidt, jamesbond

Taco
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 4627
Joined: July 9th, 2011, 5:30 pm

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Taco » January 11th, 2018, 1:40 am

jamesbond wrote:
January 11th, 2018, 12:38 am
They say in 2018 their is going to be a correction in the stock market. It might be a correction of biblical proportions (a market crash). :shock:
Welcome to 2018 – a year that will be the culmination of at least 105 years of mismanagement of the Western financial system by governments, central bankers and the elite…

Stocks are now in a melt-up phase, and before the major bear markets start in virtually all countries around the world, we are likely to see the final exhaustion moves which could be substantial. The year will also be marked by inflation increasing a lot faster than expected. This will include higher interest rates, much higher commodity prices, such as food, oil and a falling dollar. And many base metals will strengthen. Precious metals have finished their 2-3 year correction are now resuming their move to new highs.

In this bull market there have been 374 trading days without a 5% or greater pullback, the second longest streak since 1928. This is pretty remarkable considering that 5% pullbacks have occurred, on average, 3x per year since 1928.

Sadly, most investors will remain convinced that current times will last forever as stocks and cryptos move to new highs. Few will realize that we are approaching the end of the biggest bubble in history.

No society that depends on money can work for long if nobody knows the true value of things, including the value of money itself. The price of attempting to live in a culture of pervasive dishonesty is that an asset price re-set is inevitable. When it happens, it will be hugely destabilizing.

Asset bubbles are financially destructive in the same manner as ocean waves. Their force is not linear, but exponential. A 4-foot wave has 16 times the force of a 1-foot wave; something any surfer knows from experience. We are now at the apex of the most incredible nest of financial bubbles in all of human history. I hate to break it to you, but chances are you’re just not prepared for what’s coming. Not even close.
“Every time a President leaves the White House after two terms, there is a recession within the next year"




Check out our Dating Sites and International Romance Tours!



User avatar
Adama
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 6207
Joined: August 23rd, 2009, 10:37 pm

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Adama » January 11th, 2018, 2:34 am

If there is a crash, unless the world ends, there will be a recovery. There always has been since the inception of stock markets. Can people lose money if they invest in something that goes bust, like tulips? Sure. But the market itself will recover.
A good man is above pettiness. He is better than that.

Taco
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 4627
Joined: July 9th, 2011, 5:30 pm

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Taco » January 11th, 2018, 4:18 am

Adama wrote:
January 11th, 2018, 2:34 am
If there is a crash, unless the world ends, there will be a recovery. There always has been since the inception of stock markets. Can people lose money if they invest in something that goes bust, like tulips? Sure. But the market itself will recover.
No one is going to care about the stock market when this blows up. The high stock market is a measure of inflation.

People are hard wired to be optimistic so no matter how extreme the danger the worst market crash in 500 years will be all they can think about is how much money their going to make from it instead of leaving America. The middle class will be completely destroyed. That's a hard concept for most people to understand. However, people in Venezuela understand it because they have best preforming stock market in the world right now while everyone is starving.

Venezuela Is Living a Hyperinflation Nightmare
https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles ... -nightmare

Inflation@720%, yet stocks up 1,100%: Venezuelan equity poses ultimate puzzle
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/ma ... 861116.cms
“Every time a President leaves the White House after two terms, there is a recession within the next year"

User avatar
Adama
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 6207
Joined: August 23rd, 2009, 10:37 pm

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Adama » January 11th, 2018, 4:37 am

Maybe this discussion is not worth it, but I would think there are other things affecting the Venezuelan economy. Correlation is not causation.
A good man is above pettiness. He is better than that.

Taco
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 4627
Joined: July 9th, 2011, 5:30 pm

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Taco » January 17th, 2018, 2:37 am

The Dow went up 1000 points in the last 7 trading days

Dow bursts through 26,000 in record seven trading days
http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/ ... story.html

The risk appetite indicator is at a record high...

Image

Image
“Every time a President leaves the White House after two terms, there is a recession within the next year"

Taco
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 4627
Joined: July 9th, 2011, 5:30 pm

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Taco » January 20th, 2018, 9:56 pm

Global Market Momentum Just Hit Extreme Levels
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01- ... g-imminent

Image
“Every time a President leaves the White House after two terms, there is a recession within the next year"

User avatar
Adama
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 6207
Joined: August 23rd, 2009, 10:37 pm

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Adama » January 22nd, 2018, 1:18 am

So when is the crash coming? What's going to be the thing that tips it over the edge?
A good man is above pettiness. He is better than that.

Taco
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 4627
Joined: July 9th, 2011, 5:30 pm

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Taco » January 25th, 2018, 5:03 pm

Adama wrote:
January 22nd, 2018, 1:18 am
So when is the crash coming? What's going to be the thing that tips it over the edge?
When the interest rates on the 10 year US treasury bonds exceeds 3% or so I'm told...

BofA: "This Is The Magic Number That Will Burst The Stock Bubble"
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01- ... ock-bubble

US Generic Govt 10 Year Yield
https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/USGG10YR:IND
“Every time a President leaves the White House after two terms, there is a recession within the next year"

User avatar
Adama
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 6207
Joined: August 23rd, 2009, 10:37 pm

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Adama » January 25th, 2018, 7:45 pm

Taco wrote:
January 25th, 2018, 5:03 pm
Adama wrote:
January 22nd, 2018, 1:18 am
So when is the crash coming? What's going to be the thing that tips it over the edge?
When the interest rates on the 10 year US treasury bonds exceeds 3% or so I'm told...

BofA: "This Is The Magic Number That Will Burst The Stock Bubble"
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01- ... ock-bubble
That's nothing but speculation.
A good man is above pettiness. He is better than that.

Taco
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 4627
Joined: July 9th, 2011, 5:30 pm

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Taco » January 26th, 2018, 12:28 am

Adama wrote:
January 25th, 2018, 7:45 pm
Taco wrote:
January 25th, 2018, 5:03 pm
Adama wrote:
January 22nd, 2018, 1:18 am
So when is the crash coming? What's going to be the thing that tips it over the edge?
When the interest rates on the 10 year US treasury bonds exceeds 3% or so I'm told...

BofA: "This Is The Magic Number That Will Burst The Stock Bubble"
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-01- ... ock-bubble
That's nothing but speculation.
Derivatives are interest rate sensitive and there are 500 trillion of them.

There are about 50 different factors that influence equity markets and so every market analyst has there own idea what will crash the markets.

A massive drop in the price of oil accompanied the 2008 financial crisis you might see the same thing happen again.

The Nasdaq trendlines are now being broken ...

Stock Market Trendlines Being Broken
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article61390.html
“Every time a President leaves the White House after two terms, there is a recession within the next year"

Taco
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 4627
Joined: July 9th, 2011, 5:30 pm

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Taco » February 3rd, 2018, 1:53 am

Dow down 600 points and Nasdaq down 144 today. This could get ugly next week if the bond market continues to sell off.

Bank of America has said the stock market will crash when the yield on the 10 year T bonds hits 3%, its now at 2.84% and rising.

US Generic Govt 10 Year Yield
https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/USGG10YR:IND

30 y-10 y spread is now down to 23 basis points
https://ycharts.com/indicators/30_year_ ... asury_rate

“Every time a President leaves the White House after two terms, there is a recession within the next year"

User avatar
jamesbond
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 8410
Joined: August 25th, 2007, 6:45 pm
Location: USA

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by jamesbond » February 3rd, 2018, 1:56 pm

Taco wrote:
February 3rd, 2018, 1:53 am
Dow down 600 points and Nasdaq down 144 today. This could get ugly next week if the bond market continues to sell off.

Bank of America has said the stock market will crash when the yield on the 10 year T bonds hits 3%, its now at 2.84% and rising.

US Generic Govt 10 Year Yield
https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/USGG10YR:IND

30 y-10 y spread is now down to 23 basis points
https://ycharts.com/indicators/30_year_ ... asury_rate

The experts say we are headed for a "correction" in the stock market. I hope it's just a correction and not a complete market crash! :shock:
"When I think about the idea of getting involved with an American woman, I don't know if I should laugh .............. or vomit!"

"Trying to meet women in America is like trying to decipher Egyptian hieroglyphics."

Moretorque
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 4791
Joined: April 28th, 2013, 3:00 pm
Location: USA,FL

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Moretorque » February 3rd, 2018, 6:48 pm

I hope the whole thing comes down hard so the idiots may get their head out of their rears and figure out the reason for real money and put these socialist clowns to bed......And hopefully kills most of the sheople on the planet in the process so the ECO can try and recover!
Time to Hide!

Taco
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 4627
Joined: July 9th, 2011, 5:30 pm

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Taco » February 5th, 2018, 8:19 am

Moretorque wrote:
February 3rd, 2018, 6:48 pm
I hope the whole thing comes down hard so the idiots may get their head out of their rears and figure out the reason for real money and put these socialist clowns to bed......And hopefully kills most of the sheople on the planet in the process so the ECO can try and recover!
It should kill around 6 billion, that's my estimate.

The S&P 500 is now 3 deviations above the 200 day moving average. Technical indicators are at record levels...

Image
“Every time a President leaves the White House after two terms, there is a recession within the next year"

Taco
Elite Upper Class Poster
Posts: 4627
Joined: July 9th, 2011, 5:30 pm

Re: US Markets Hit Record Highs

Post by Taco » February 14th, 2018, 11:15 pm

The Stock Market is 2/3rds margin cash. It will drop like a stone when that's all called in.

The US stock market is rigged to perfection. No matter what economic news we get our nationalized market is pre-programmed to rally.

Inflation is GOOD for the stock market.

Negative retail sales are also GOOD.

Higher interest rates? GOOD.

Low interest rates? Those were GOOD too.

Trump was suddenly GOOD for the market in the wee hours on election night.

Brexit became GOOD, as did the Italian Referendum.

Low oil prices and higher oil prices are both GOOD at the same time.

Continuing and ending the QE program? Both GOOD.

And when a recession finally comes, it will also somehow be GOOD for the market too.
“Every time a President leaves the White House after two terms, there is a recession within the next year"

Post Reply
  • Similar Topics
    Replies
    Views
    Last post

Return to “Business, Finance, Taxes, Investments, Cost of Living, etc.”