Turkey, France, Japan and Argentina - New Superpower - Peter Zeihan

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galii
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Turkey, France, Japan and Argentina - New Superpower - Peter Zeihan

Post by galii »

Zeihan said Japan will dominate Asia. Japan will dominate China. Implied is that Japan will dominate India.

Here is a link to my article about Zeihan having a history of predicting China’s collapse and getting it wrong and I covered the wrongness of Zeihan in regards to China and Japan. Nextbigfuture disagrees about the Zeihans predictions.

Zeihan said Turkey will be a great power in Europe and the Middle East.

Zeihan said Argentina will dominate South and Central America. I have an article about how bad the Zeihan prediction is for Argentina to dominate South America. I compare Argentina and Brazil.

Japan has a low level of stabilization with a badly aging population.

Turkey is at the bottom of the emerging market list. Turkey’s economy is forecast to grow 0.8 percent in 2019, down from an estimated 3.5 percent this year, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists. Inflation reached 25.2 percent in October, the highest level since 2003, eroding real yields.

https://www.nextbigfuture.com/2018/11/p ... mises.html


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Yohan
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Re: Turkey, France, Japan and Argentina - New Superpower - Peter Zeihan

Post by Yohan »

This article is 5 years old, 2018 is not 2023.

Japan alone cannot dominate China, but recently there are some talks going on between South Korea, Taiwan and Japan to co-operate closer than before in the near future. - This might create a commercial region of about 200 million people, competitive with China and India.
galii
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Re: Turkey, France, Japan and Argentina - New Superpower - Peter Zeihan

Post by galii »

Yohan wrote:
October 15th, 2023, 6:27 pm
This article is 5 years old, 2018 is not 2023.

Japan alone cannot dominate China, but recently there are some talks going on between South Korea, Taiwan and Japan to co-operate closer than before in the near future. - This might create a commercial region of about 200 million people, competitive with China and India.
Zeihan is very poplular and he made many wrong predictions:
created bei bard ai

Here is a list of wrong predictions made by Peter Zeihan:

China's collapse: Zeihan has been predicting China's collapse for many years, but so far, his predictions have not come true. China's economy has continued to grow, albeit at a slower pace.
The end of globalization: Zeihan has also predicted the end of globalization, but this has not happened either. Globalization is still happening, albeit in a more complex and fragmented way.
The collapse of the US military: Zeihan has predicted that the US military will collapse, but this is also unlikely to happen. The US military is still the most powerful military in the world.
The rise of Japan, Turkey, and Argentina: Zeihan has predicted that Japan, Turkey, and Argentina will rise to prominence in the coming years. However, there is no evidence to support this prediction. These countries are facing significant challenges, such as aging populations and economic problems.


peregrino
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Re: Turkey, France, Japan and Argentina - New Superpower - Peter Zeihan

Post by peregrino »

He still keeps saying China is going to collapse any day now. On the other hand, he predicted the Ukraine War basically spot on.
galii
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Re: Turkey, France, Japan and Argentina - New Superpower - Peter Zeihan

Post by galii »

peregrino wrote:
October 17th, 2023, 1:08 am
He still keeps saying China is going to collapse any day now. On the other hand, he predicted the Ukraine War basically spot on.
Ukraine war was easy for him as he is a deep state cia operativ.
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